The “Ink Wasn’t Even Dry”: Paramount’s $108B Hostile Hail Mary to Kill the Netflix Deal

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A stack of vintage CRT televisions in a dark room with entangled cables, featuring glitching and distorted screens showing alternating Netflix and Paramount logos. The image symbolizes the chaotic corporate battle and Paramount's hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery against Netflix.

Just when we thought the ink was dry on Netflix’s $82.7 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), Paramount Skydance just kicked the door down.

In a stunning move this Monday, Paramount launched a hostile takeover bid for WBD, bypassing the board of directors and going straight to the shareholders.

This isn’t just business; it’s a street fight for the soul of Hollywood.

The Tale of the Tape: Netflix vs. Paramount

WBD’s board already said “yes” to Netflix on Friday. But Paramount CEO David Ellison isn’t taking no for an answer. He claims the board ignored their superior offers, so now he is asking the shareholders to revolt and tender their shares directly to Paramount by January 8, 2026.

Here is what the two fighters are bringing to the ring:

FeatureNetflix DealParamount Skydance Deal
Price Per Share~$27.75 (Fluctuates with stock)$30.00 (Fixed Cash)
Total Value~$83 Billion~$108 Billion
StructureComplex (Spins off CNN/Cable assets)Simple (Buys 100% of the company)
Risk ProfileHigh (Regulatory scrutiny + Stock volatility)Medium (Debt-heavy, but cash is king)
The Pitch“Join the Winning Team” (Streaming Monopoly)“Save Hollywood” (Theaters + Legacy Media)

The Speculation Station

Why is Paramount doing this now? And why should you care? It comes down to three massive gambles.

1. Regulatory Roulette & The Trump Card

Netflix buying WBD creates a streaming Godzilla (combining the #1 and #3 biggest services). The FTC usually hates this. Paramount is arguing that their merger is “pro-competitive” because it combines smaller players to fight the giants (Netflix/Disney).

The Wildcard: David Ellison is the son of Larry Ellison (Oracle), a major donor to the incoming administration. With his father’s close ties to the Trump team, they are betting they can get this pushed through as a “Save American Media” play, whereas a Netflix monopoly might get blocked by a populist FTC.

2. The “Zombie Cable” Problem

The Netflix deal is messy. It wants to strip WBD for parts (HBO, DC, Harry Potter) and dump the dying cable channels (CNN, TNT, Discovery) into a “spin-off” company that is basically destined to fail.

Paramount wants to buy the whole thing. If you care about the survival of news (CNN) or sports (TNT), the Paramount deal is actually the safer bet. The Netflix deal leaves those assets out in the cold to die.

3. The Consumer Verdict: Pick Your Poison

  • If Netflix Wins: Prices go up immediately. Netflix has zero competition. They lock the Harry Potter/DC vault and force you to pay $25/month for it.
  • If Paramount Wins: We get a messy transition period and likely a “Paramount-Max” super-bundle. It’s clunky, but it keeps Netflix from having total pricing power.

My Brutally Honest Take

Cash is King.

If I’m a WBD shareholder, I’m taking the $30 cash over Netflix “maybe” stock any day. The WBD board hates this deal because they likely lose their cushy jobs in a complete buyout, but money talks.

I predict shareholders will revolt and tender their shares to Paramount. This forces Netflix to either walk away or pay an insane premium (creating a “Winner’s Curse”).

Bottom Line: The era of “cheap streaming” is officially dead. Prepare your wallets, because someone has to pay for that $108 billion check.

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